Boomer wealth depressed by mortgages poses risk

Mortgage-burning parties in the U.S. may be going the way of home milk deliveries and polyester leisure suits.
A growing number of homeowners are reaching retirement age still owing money on their houses. The share of Americans 65 and older with mortgage debt rose to 30 percent in 2011 from 22 percent in 2001, according to a May analysis by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau based on the latest available figures. Loan balances also increased, with the median amount owed climbing to $79,000 from $43,400 after adjusting for inflation, the data showed.
“There were old-fashioned beliefs probably 30 years ago” that included “you should pay off your house before you retire,” said Olivia Mitchell, executive director of the Pension Research Council at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School in Philadelphia. “This is no longer the case.”
The increase in mortgage debt may influence labor-force dynamics as some older Americans find they’re unable to completely retire, needing extra cash to keep up monthly payments. It also diminishes home equity and wealth, making these households more susceptible to swings in the economy and curbing spending on things such as vacations and visits to grandchildren.
“When they are hit with a financial downturn or an unexpected cost, they often are in a position where they don’t have the ability to recoup whatever losses they may have suffered,” said Stacy Canan, the deputy assistant director of the CFPB’s Office for Older Americans in Washington. Because a larger portion of income has to go to paying a mortgage, “there has to really be a dialing back of almost all other expenses.”
A surge in refinancing in the early 2000s — and to some extent the more recent wave in the post-recession years — is one reason mortgage debt grew, according to a 2012 analysis led by John Gist, a professor at George Washington University’s public policy institute in Washington. In addition, the ability to buy with smaller down payments during the housing boom and the acquisition of vacation homes also contributed.
The highest rates of refinancing occurred among boomers, with more than half of those born between 1946 and 1964 going through the process in 2004 and 2007, Gist found. Older Americans also tapped their home equity more often than younger generations, he said.
The job market hasn’t been kind to older age groups, which makes servicing debt more difficult. The median duration of joblessness for adults 65 years and older was 17.8 weeks in July, versus 13.5 weeks for those 25 to 34, Labor Department data show.
Having a mortgage is “a source of risk for these older households, particularly when you see what we find in the labor market experience,” Julia Coronado, chief economist at Graham Capital Management in Rowayton, Connecticut, said in a May presentation hosted by Wharton’s Pension Research Council.
Those with jobs are laboring longer. About 65 percent of homeowners with mortgages are still working at age 64, compared with 54 percent of those without housing debt, according to a December analysis by Washington-based Urban Institute researchers Barbara Butrica and Nadia Karamcheva.
Owing more on a house also means seniors will draw smaller benefits from reverse mortgages — a type of loan that eliminates monthly payments by converting home equity into cash. The loan is repaid when the last surviving borrower dies or the property is sold. This type of borrowing adds to debt loads that will diminish how much wealth transfers to the new generation.
The inclination toward having bigger mortgages later in life will probably not dissipate with the coming of a younger generation.
As millennials delay buying homes, they may prolong the trend, said Sam Khater, deputy chief economist at mortgage and real-estate information provider CoreLogic Inc.
The homeownership rate for Americans 35 years old and younger fell to 35.9 percent in the second quarter, the lowest level in quarterly data going back to 1994, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. That compares with a high of 43.6 percent 10 years ago.
“A lot of today’s millennials are entering the market quite a bit later than their parents, so just by definition they’re going to be carrying more debt later in life relative to their parents,” said Khater, who is based in Tysons Corner, Virginia. In the past, borrowers looked forward to “burning their note,” he said. “Over the next couple decades, that’s going to happen in much smaller percentages.”

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