U.S. Q1 growth revised down to 2.2% on inventories

UNITED STATES GDP in the first quarter grew at a 2.2 percent annualized rate, adjusted down from a previously estimated 2.3 percent rate. / BLOOMBERG
UNITED STATES GDP in the first quarter grew at a 2.2 percent annualized rate, adjusted down from a previously estimated 2.3 percent rate. / BLOOMBERG

NEW YORK – The United States economy grew in the first quarter at a slightly slower pace than previously estimated, while tax cuts gave a significant boost to corporate profits, according to Commerce Department data released Wednesday.

Highlights of first-quarter GDP (second estimate)

  • Gross domestic product grew at a 2.2 percent annualized rate (est. 2.3 percent), revised from 2.3 percent
  • Consumer spending grew 1 percent (est. 1.2 percent), revised from 1.1 percent; slowest gain in almost five years
  • Downward revisions led by inventories, net exports, consumer spending on health care; figures for motor-vehicle spending, intellectual-property investment revised upward
  • Corporate pretax profits rose 4.3 percent year over year and fell 0.6 percent quarter to quarter, in the first estimate issued for Jan.-March quarter and following 2.7 percent year over year rise in 4Q; after taxes, profits rose 14 percent year over year amid boost from new tax-cut law

Key takeaways

Consumer spending, which accounts for about 70 percent of the economy, was revised downward due to smaller contributions from services. At the same time, another key gauge of the economy was better than previously reported: Final sales to domestic purchasers, which strip out trade and inventories – the two most volatile components of the GDP calculation – advanced 1.9 percent, revised up from 1.6 percent.

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The first quarter typically is influenced by seasonal quirks. Household purchases and economic growth are projected to rebound in the April-June period amid bigger after-tax paychecks and the strong job market. However, a sustained and more pronounced rise in fuel costs would potentially restrain gains in consumer spending and business investment.

The report included the first look at corporate America’s earnings in early 2018, indicating a big impact on companies’ bottom lines from the Republican-backed tax cuts that took effect Jan. 1. While the pretax annual gain was in line with recent quarters, the after-tax increase was the biggest since late 2016, as a cut in the tax rate to 21 percent from 35 percent resulted in a $117.4 billion quarterly drop in corporate income taxes.

Price data showed inflation was slower than previously estimated. Excluding food and energy, the Federal Reserve’s preferred price index that is tied to personal spending rose at a 2.3 percent annualized rate, revised from a previously- estimated 2.5 percent pace. The central bank targets 2 percent annual gains in the gauge including all items.

Other details

  • Nonresidential fixed investment – which includes spending on equipment, structures and intellectual property – increased 9.2 percent, most since 2014; revised from 6.1 percent
  • Spending on business equipment rose 5.5 percent, revised from 4.7 percent gain; intellectual-property investment jumped 10.9 percent, up from previously reported 3.6 percent
  • Residential investment fell at a 2 percent rate, revised from unchanged
  • Net exports added 0.08 percentage point to GDP growth, revised down from 0.2-point boost; inventories added 0.13 point, less than the previously-reported 0.43-point lift
  • First-quarter wages and salaries were revised up by $3.1 billion to $119.5 billion gain; included $10 billion upward adjustment reflecting bonuses reported by companies in response to new tax law
  • Gross domestic income, adjusted for inflation, rose 2.8 percent in the first quarter, following 1 percent in the previous three months GDP report, representing the value of all goods and services produced in the U.S., is the second of three estimates for the quarter before annual revisions in July

Shobhana Chandra is a reporter for Bloomberg News.

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