Thursday, August 20, 2026

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Narayana Kocherlakota

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Don’t complain that the polls were wrong

One big complaint about the latest U.S. election is that “the polls were wrong.” It reveals a complete misunderstanding of what polls -- and...

What the Federal Reserve needs to know

The U.S. Federal Reserve faces a tough task in figuring out how best to respond to a highly unusual economic recovery. As chair Janet...

How the Fed turns good news into bad

Pop quiz! Are these events good news or bad news for the Federal Reserve? n China announces plans to build a lot more steel plants. n...

Yes, the Fed is about to make a mistake

This week, officials at the U.S. Federal Reserve will hold a crucial meeting on whether to raise interest rates. Whatever they do, it will...

How I helped inflate housing bubble

People are still trying to figure out who was responsible for the run-up and subsequent collapse of U.S. housing prices that spawned the 2008...

There goes the Fed’s credibility

Back in January 2012, the Federal Reserve promised to keep its preferred measure of inflation close to 2 percent over the longer run. More...

An unhealthy obsession with the Fed

Why are markets and the media so obsessed with the timing of the Federal Reserve's next interest-rate increase? The sheer intensity of their attention,...

The real reason to worry about China

The world’s largest currency union contains about 1.7 billion people and accounts for more than a third of global economic output. It also...
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