The productivity of U.S. workers grew in the second quarter at the fastest pace in almost six years as employers squeezed more out of remaining staff to bolster profits.
Productivity, a measure of how much an employee produces for each hour worked, rose at an annual 6.4 percent pace, more than forecast, after a 0.3 percent gain the prior three months, Labor Department data showed last week in Washington. Labor costs fell by the most in eight years.
Lower expenses mean companies may need to fire fewer workers as sales stabilize, the first step toward ending the worst employment slump in the post World War II era. Efficiency gains also help curb inflation, giving Federal Reserve policymakers extra time to remove stimulus.
“This is encouraging for the profit outlook,” said Jonathan Basile, an economist at Credit Suisse Holdings Inc. in New York. “With a labor-cost profile like this, the Fed won’t be worried about inflation.”
Labor costs decreased at a 5.8 percent pace, the second consecutive drop and the biggest since 2001. Expenses were down 0.6 percent over the last four quarters, the biggest fall in five years.
Economists had forecast productivity would rise at a 5.5 percent annual pace, according to the median of 62 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey. Estimates ranged from increases of 7 percent to 2.9 percent. Unit labor costs, which are adjusted for efficiency gains, were projected to drop 2.5 percent.
Compared with the second quarter of 2008, productivity was up 1.8 percent, the most in a year.
Hours worked fell at a 7.6 percent pace, after a 9 percent drop. Output fell at a 1.7 percent rate.
Compensation for each hour worked climbed at 0.2 percent annual pace, compared with a decline of 2.4 percent in the prior quarter.
Among manufacturers, productivity jumped at a 5.3 percent pace, compared with a 2.6 percent decrease.
Smaller work forces have helped stem the slump in profits. For the second quarter, 72.2 percent of S&P 500 companies beat consensus earnings estimates, just below the 72.3 percent ratio five years ago that was the highest since at least 1993, data compiled by Bloomberg showed.
Investors are getting encouraged by the improvement. The Standard & Poor’s 500 earlier this month was trading at the highest level relative to earnings since 2004.
DuPont Co., the third-biggest U.S. chemical maker, was one of the companies that posted second-quarter profit that topped analysts’ estimates as it trimmed expenses faster than expected. Wilmington, Del.-based DuPont is cutting fixed costs by $1 billion, in part by shedding 2,500 employees and more than 10,000 contractors, and has achieved 60 percent of its cost-reduction target.
“Our aggressive actions to improve productivity and reduce costs across the company are paying off,” Chief Executive Officer Ellen Kullman said in a statement last month.
Some companies are already bringing employees back as demand stabilizes. Union Pacific Corp., the second biggest U.S. railroad by sales, trimmed payroll by operating with about 45,000 workers in the second quarter, its lowest employment since its 1996 purchase of Southern Pacific Rail Corp.
Omaha, Neb.-based Union Pacific, whose profit also beat analysts’ estimates, has recalled some furloughed workers since June as weekly carload rates gain. About 900 of the 5,300 conductors, engineers and other employees laid off as of mid- June have returned, a spokesman said in July. •
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